23.05.2025 Ankara
Organized by the Union of Chambers and Commodity Exchanges of Türkiye (TOBB), the TOBB Türkiye Economy Summit was hosted by TOBB President M. Rifat Hisarcıklıoğlu with the participation of Vice President Cevdet Yılmaz, relevant Ministers and Chamber/Exchange Presidents at TOBB Twin Towers.
TOBB President M. Rifat
Hisarcıklıoğlu, in his speech at the opening of the meeting, stated that trade
wars and protectionism are spreading in the world; global growth and trade are
slowing down, and said, “Our country’s economy is also negatively affected by
all these, but we do not give up the struggle.”
Hisarcıklıoğlu said that
they started the “TOBB Türkiye Economy Summit,” which is the biggest platform
that brings together the business world and public administration, together
with the government in 2003.
Emphasizing that they
have contributed to strengthening the culture of consultation between the
public and private sectors in Türkiye, Hisarcıklıoğlu said, “We are going
through a difficult process in the economy. Trade wars and protectionism are
spreading in the world; global growth and trade are slowing down. Our country’s
economy is also negatively affected by all these, but we do not give up the
struggle. Like today, we wish to see our state always by our side.”
- “We will continue to grow the economy with stability”
Hisarcıklıoğlu stated
that they will continue to grow the economy on a more solid foundation and with
stability, and that the presidents of chambers-exchanges and sector councils
are acting with this vision. Stating that the presidents collected the main
problems experienced in the real sector and the market in 81 provinces and
prepared solution proposals, Hisarcıklıoğlu continued as follows:
“I am constantly
traveling around Anatolia, constantly listening to companies and sectors. The
biggest problem I see is access to credit. Both the restrictions on credit growth
and high interest rates are shackles on the feet of our SMEs in particular.
Payments in the market are disrupted, shopping decreases, and as a result, the
growth of the economy slows down. To overcome these problems, we need to give
positive discrimination to SMEs. We should exclude them from the monthly credit
growth limit. We should also exclude commercial credit cards from this limit.
We need to prevent the real contraction of existing credit limits, so that we
can bring relief to the market.”
Pointing out that
although these enterprises are large in number, their share in the total credit
volume is small, Hisarcıklıoğlu stated that the positive approach to be applied
will not disrupt the macro balances.
- Use of the CGF
Hisarcıklıoğlu reminded
that yesterday President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan made an important statement on
access to credit and instructed new preparations for the use of the Credit
Guarantee Fund, and said, “This morning, our Minister of Treasury and Finance
announced that a 30 billion lira loan package for manufacturing SMEs will be
activated. We also have to increase support for exports. Because we are facing
a new global environment that we have never experienced before. The US has
increased tariffs. The highest increases were applied to many Far Eastern
countries, especially China. What happens if China cannot sell as much to the
US as it used to, so it sends its remaining stocks and goods to other markets?
In non-US markets, Chinese competition becomes even more fierce than before.”
- “Let’s not restrict ourselves with some global
regulations from yesterday”
Hisarcıklıoğlu reminded
that a small example of this happened in the past, that when the real estate
bubble burst in China in early 2020 and the construction boom suddenly ended,
the construction machinery in hand started to be sold to other countries, and
that China’s share of global machinery exports, which was around 3 percent in
2005, increased to 21 percent in 2023:
“Let’s not restrict
ourselves with some global regulations of yesterday. Let’s definitely bring new
and proactive supports to exports. You have provided very serious increases in
export rediscount credits. We need to continue this to compensate for the
increase in the real value of the Turkish lira. We need to increase the
rediscount credit volume to the level of 3-month exports, i.e. 65 billion
dollars. Let’s prioritize labor-intensive sectors. Because they are in danger
of losing their competitiveness and export markets due to rising input costs.
Additional support should be given to labor-intensive sectors, especially
textiles and ready-to-wear clothing. As in the pandemic period, short-time
working allowance should be activated and used actively.”
- Vice President Yılmaz
Vice President Cevdet
Yılmaz said that the Medium Term Program (MTP) will be updated in September as
is customary.
Stating that the
program they are implementing has four main objectives, Yılmaz said that the
first and most fundamental objective is to reduce inflation, establish price
stability and provide a predictable environment for both the public and private
sectors.
Yılmaz said that the
second main objective of the program is balanced growth, and that they aim for
more qualified growth not only through consumption but also through production,
investment and exports.
Stating that the third
goal is social welfare, Yılmaz said that they want to realize this permanently
and that they aim to move forward with healthy and realistic policies, not with
daily, temporary and deceptive solutions.
Emphasizing that the
fourth goal of the program is the reconstruction process after the February 6
earthquakes, Yılmaz said that an average of 35 billion dollars is spent every
year for this purpose and that the total expenditure will exceed 100 billion
dollars by the end of the year.
- “Inflation will continue to decline”
Stating that inflation
reached 75.5 percent in May 2024, the disinflation process started in June and
the third stage of this process is permanent price stability, Yılmaz said:
“The disinflation process
started in June last year and the annual rate of inflation has been on a
downward trend for 11 months without interruption. It fell to 37.9 percent as
of April. When we look at the leading indicators in May, we see that the
inflation rate was below expectations, which was also the assessment of the
Central Bank yesterday. So we can easily say that the downward trend in
inflation will continue in this month as well.”
Yılmaz stated that the
real sector brought up the issue of loans and credit costs and revealed the
problems they were experiencing, and said: “Our basic approach to this issue is
as follows; I want you to know that we will always act sensitively to the
demands of our real sector without disturbing the main framework of our
program, without weakening our main direction in any way. This has always been
the perspective of our President. He has always been in favor of investment,
production, exports and employment. He has always had a perspective in favor of
the real sector. We are of course implementing the same policy. Therefore, we
do the following; while controlling the general volume, we try to respond to
the demands of the real sector in a selective manner. We do the same in our tax
policies. We do the same in other areas as well.”
At the end of his
speech, Vice President Yılmaz said, “We should not exaggerate the temporary
problems experienced recently. These are temporary. I believe that a very
different financial environment will emerge in the next few months. We can see
this from a number of indicators and trends. Maybe the tightness in the
financial markets is felt a little more at the moment, but I can express that
there will be a more positive perspective in the coming months, a more positive
perspective in macro terms.”
Following the opening
speeches, the meeting continued closed to the press. In this section, the
heads of chambers and stock exchanges took the floor and expressed the issues
and solution proposals from the real sector.
In addition to Vice
President Yılmaz, Minister of Labor and Social Security Vedat Işıkhan, Minister
of Treasury and Finance Mehmet Şimşek, Minister of Industry and Technology
Mehmet Fatih Kacır, Minister of Agriculture and Forestry İbrahim Yumaklı,
Minister of Trade Ömer Bolat, Presidential Strategy and Budget President
İbrahim Şenel and some deputy ministers also attended the meeting.